2016 Maryland Democratic presidential primary

April 26, 2016 (2016-04-26)
 
Candidate Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders
Home state New York Vermont
Delegate count 60 35
Popular vote 573,242[1] 309,990
Percentage 62.53% 33.81%

Election results by county.
  Hillary Clinton
  Bernie Sanders

The 2016 Maryland Democratic presidential primary was held on April 26 in the U.S. state of Maryland as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

The Democratic Party's primaries in Connecticut, Delaware, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island were held the same day, as were Republican primaries in the same five states, including their own Maryland primary.

Opinion polling

Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Official Primary results April 26, 2016 Hillary Clinton
62.5%
Bernie Sanders
33.8%
Others / Uncommitted
3.7%
ARG[2]

Margin of error: ± 5.0%
Sample size: 400

April 21-24, 2016 Hillary Clinton
50%
Bernie Sanders
44%
Others / Undecided
6%
Monmouth[3]

Margin of error: ± 5.7%
Sample size: 300

April 18-20, 2016 Hillary Clinton
57%
Bernie Sanders
32%
Others / Undecided
11%
Public Policy Polling[4]

Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 492

April 15-17, 2016 Hillary Clinton
58%
Bernie Sanders
33%
Others / Undecided
9%
NBC 4/Marist[5]

Margin of error: ± 3.5%
Sample size: 775

April 5-9, 2016 Hillary Clinton
58%
Bernie Sanders
36%
Others / Undecided
6%
University of Maryland/Washington Post[6]

Margin of error: ± 5.5%
Sample size: 539

March 30 - April 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton
55%
Bernie Sanders
40%
Others / Undecided
5%
Baltimore Sun[7]

Margin of error: ± 4.9%
Sample size: 400

March 4-8, 2016 Hillary Clinton
61%
Bernie Sanders
28%
Others / Undecided
11%
Gonzales/Arscott Research[8]

Margin of error: ± 5.0
Sample size: 411

February 29-March 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton
57%
Bernie Sanders
26%
Others / Undecided
17%
Goucher[9]

Margin of error: ± 3.5
Sample size: 794

February 13–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton
58%
Bernie Sanders
28%
Others / Undecided
14%
Baltimore Sun/University of Baltimore

Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 402

January 11–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton
40%
Bernie Sanders
27%
Others / Undecided
33%
Polls in 2015
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Baltimore Sun/University of Baltimore

Margin of error: ± 4.8%
Sample size: 419

November 13–17, 2015 Hillary Clinton
56%
Bernie Sanders
23%
Martin O'Malley
7%
Other/Unsure 14%
Washington Post

Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 490

October 8–11, 2015 Hillary Clinton
43%
Joe Biden
26%
Bernie Sanders
20%
Martin O'Malley 4%, Jim Webb 1%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, None/Any/Other 3%, No Opinion 2%
Goucher[10]

Margin of error: ± 5.7%
Sample size: 300

September 26 – October 1, 2015 Hillary Clinton
43%
Joe Biden
23%
Bernie Sanders
17%
Martin O'Malley 2%, Jim Webb 2%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, None/Any/Other 2%, Undecided 11%
Polls in 2014
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Washington Post[11]

Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 538

February 13–16, 2014 Hillary Clinton
72%
Joe Biden
9%
Martin O'Malley
6%
Elizabeth Warren 3%, Andrew Cuomo 2%, None 1%, Undecided 7%
Baltimore Sun

Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 500

February 8–12, 2014 Hillary Clinton
59%
Joe Biden
14%
Martin O'Malley
6%
Andrew Cuomo 4%, Undecided/Other 17%
Polls in 2013
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Washington Post

Margin of error:
Sample size:

February 21–24, 2013 Hillary Clinton
56%
Joe Biden
18%
Martin O'Malley
8%
Andrew Cuomo 4%, None/other/any of them 4%, No opinion 9%

Results

Maryland Democratic primary, April 26, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 573,242 62.53% 60 17 77
Bernie Sanders 309,990 33.81% 35 1 36
Rocky De La Fuente 3,582 0.39%
Uncommitted 29,949 3.27% 0 6 6
Total 916,763 100% 95 24 119
Source: The Green Papers, Maryland State Board of Elections - Official Primary Results,
MDP Announces DNC Delegates, Alternates and State DNC Members,
MDP Announces District-Level Delegate Winners

Results by county

Hillary Clinton won every county (and the independent city of Baltimore) with the exceptions of Allegany, Carroll, Cecil, and Garrett counties, which went for Bernie Sanders.[12]

County[13] Clinton  % Sanders  % Others Totals Turnout Margin
Allegany2,47641.29%2,72745.48% 793 5,996 40.48% -4.19%
Anne Arundel37,72656.19%26,20539.03% 3,210 67,141 43.57% 17.16%
Baltimore (City)87,76265.26%42,28531.44% 4,434 134,481 45.59% 33.82%
Baltimore (County)77,05257.24%50,64137.62% 6,919 134,612 44.18% 19.62%
Calvert5,44057.10%3,49036.63% 597 9,527 40.53% 20.47%
Caroline1,16750.94%95941.86% 165 2,291 33.47% 9.08%
Carroll7,01746.00%7,29947.85% 938 15,254 46.81% -1.85%
Cecil3,53445.27%3,56245.63% 710 7,806 34.84% -0.36%
Charles15,68567.84%6,62328.64% 813 23,121 37.58% 39.19%
Dorchester2,14961.68%1,08031.00% 255 3,484 34.17% 30.68%
Frederick14,73551.09%12,84444.53% 1,262 28,841 49.09% 6.56%
Garrett82141.17%93947.09% 234 1,994 44.21% -5.92%
Harford13,91351.21%11,48942.29% 1,765 27,167 42.84% 8.92%
Howard32,13959.44%20,31637.57% 1,619 54,074 54.35% 21.86%
Kent1,53254.85%1,08038.67% 181 2,793 45.93% 16.18%
Montgomery122,88166.25%59,15731.89% 3,445 185,483 50.28% 34.36%
Prince George's120,97873.60%40,81524.83% 2,580 164,373 37.63% 48.77%
Queen Anne's2,45853.49%1,85140.28% 286 4,595 43.17% 13.21%
Somerset4,89252.44%3,72539.93% 711 9,328 36.63% 12.51%
St. Mary's1,20759.60%66832.99% 150 2,025 32.61% 26.62%
Talbot2,71060.74%1,55034.74% 202 4,462 45.05% 26.00%
Washington6,21149.25%5,18941.15% 1,210 12,610 39.10% 8.10%
Wicomico5,54358.14%3,41035.77% 581 9,534 37.09% 22.37%
Worcester3,21455.69%2,08636.15% 471 5,771 40.08% 19.55%
Total573,24262.53%309,99033.81% 33,531 916,763 43.90% 28.72%

Note: Maryland is a closed primary state. Turnout is based on registered democrats before the primary on April 26, 2016. Others vote totals consist of votes for Rocky De La Fuente and Uncommitted

Analysis

With its coalition of African Americans and college-educated, affluent white progressive/liberal professionals, Maryland was a state Hillary Clinton was expected to win in the so-called "Acela Primaries" on April 26. She swept the state on election day, winning the primary by 29 points, a clear difference from 2008 when she lost Maryland to Barack Obama. According to exit polls, 43 percent of voters in the Maryland Democratic Primary were white and they opted for Clinton by a margin of 52-42 compared to the 46 percent of African American voters who backed Clinton by a margin of 75-22. Clinton swept all socioeconomic/income classes and educational attainment categories in Maryland as well. She won the votes of people over the age of 45, 75-20, but lost the youth vote to Sanders 52-46. She won both men (55-40) and women (68-29).

In terms of party identification, of the 80 percent of self-identified Democrats who voted in the primary, 69 percent backed Clinton while 30 percent supported Bernie Sanders; Independents, who made up 17 percent of the voters, backed Sanders by a 51-39 margin. Clinton also won all ideological groups.

Clinton performed well in the urban and suburban parts of the state in and around Baltimore (which she won 63-34), and the Washington, D.C. suburbs (which she won 71-27), and she also won in the more rural parts of the state like the Eastern Shore (which she won 57-37) and Western Maryland (which she won 53-47), which includes parts of Appalachia.[14]

See also

References

  1. Maryland State Board of Elections - Official Primary Results
  2. "Maryland poll April 21-24, 2016". American Research Group. Retrieved April 25, 2016.
  3. "MARYLAND: CLINTON LEADS SANDERS BY 25" (PDF). Retrieved April 22, 2016.
  4. "Maryland Likely To Continue Momentum for Trump, Clinton" (PDF). Retrieved April 19, 2016.
  5. "NBC4/Marist Poll April 2016 Maryland Questionnaire" (PDF). Retrieved April 13, 2016.
  6. "Washington Post-University of Maryland poll, March 30-April 3, 2016". Retrieved April 7, 2016.
  7. "Hillary Clinton has 33-point lead in Maryland Democratic primary, new poll shows".
  8. "Maryland Poll" (PDF).
  9. "Goucher poll February 13–18, 2016" (PDF).
  10. "Goucher poll September 26 – October 1, 2015" (PDF).
  11. "(Among Democrats and independents who lean Democratic) Thinking ahead to 2016, between (Martin O'Malley), (Hillary Clinton), (Joe Biden), (Andrew Cuomo) and (Elizabeth Warren) whom would you like to be the next Democratic presidential nominee?". Washington Post. February 22, 2014. Retrieved July 9, 2015.
  12. "Maryland Election Results 2016". The New York Times. August 2017.
  13. "Maryland Certified Election Results". CNN. May 9, 2017. Retrieved April 5, 2017.
  14. "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved September 25, 2016.
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