It's safe to assume that updating a double is never atomic, even if it's size is the same as an int with atomic guarantee. The reason is that if has different processing path since it's a non-critical and expensive data type. For example even data barriers usually mention that they don't apply to floating point data/operations in general.
Visual C++ will allign primitive types (see article) and while that should guarantee that it's bits won't get garbled while writing to memory (8 byte allignment is always in one 64 or 128 bit cache line) the rest depends on how CPU handles non-atomic data in it's cache and whether reading/flushing a cache line is interruptable. So if you dig through Intel docs for the kind of core you are using and it gives you that guarantee then you are safe to go.
The reason why Java spec is so conservative is that it's supposed to run the same way on an old 386 and on Corei7. Which is of course delusional but a promise is a promise, therefore it promisses less :-)
The reason I'm saying that you have to look up CPU doc is that your CPU might be an old 386, or alike :-)) Don't forget that on a 32-bit CPU your 8-byte block takes 2 "rounds" to access so you are down to the mercy of the mechanics of the cache access.
Cache line flushing giving much higher data consistency guarantee applies only to a reasonably recent CPU with Intel-ian guarantee (automatic cache consistency).