I'm trying to define a complex custom likelihood function using pymc3. The likelihood function involves a lot of iteration, and therefore I'm trying to use theano's scan method to define iteration directly within theano. Here's a greatly simplified example that illustrates the challenge that I'm facing. The (fake) likelihood function I'm trying to define is simply the sum of two pymc3 random variables, p and theta. Of course, I could simply return p+theta, but the actual likelihood function I'm trying to write is more complicated, and I believe I need to use theano.scan since it involves a lot of iteration.
import pymc3 as pm
from pymc3 import Model, Uniform, DensityDist
import theano.tensor as T
import theano
import numpy as np
### theano test
theano.config.compute_test_value = 'raise'
X = np.asarray([[1.0,2.0,3.0],[1.0,2.0,3.0]])
### pymc3 implementation
with Model() as bg_model:
p = pm.Uniform('p', lower = 0, upper = 1)
theta = pm.Uniform('theta', lower = 0, upper = .2)
def logp(X):
f = p+theta
print("f",f)
get_ll = theano.function(name='get_ll',inputs = [p, theta], outputs = f)
print("p keys ",p.__dict__.keys())
print("theta keys ",theta.__dict__.keys())
print("p name ",p.name,"p.type ",p.type,"type(p)",type(p),"p.tag",p.tag)
result=get_ll(p, theta)
print("result",result)
return result
y = pm.DensityDist('y', logp, observed = X) # Nx4 y = f(f,x,tx,n | p, theta)
When I run this, I get the error:
TypeError: ('Bad input argument to theano function with name "get_ll" at index 0(0-based)', 'Expected an array-like object, but found a Variable: maybe you are trying to call a function on a (possibly shared) variable instead of a numeric array?')
I understand that the issue occurs in line result=get_ll(p, theta)
because p and theta are of type pymc3.TransformedRV, and that the input to a theano function needs to be a scalar number of a simple numpy array. However, a pymc3 TransformedRV does not seem to have any obvious way of obtaining the current value of the random variable itself.
Is it possible to define a log likelihood function that involves the use of a theano function that takes as input a pymc3 random variable?