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Would like to make use of past (observed variables) and future covariates (forecasts that are available before a forecast is made for that horizon). Examples:

  • past: observed temperature: can use lagged data as inputs to the model (i.e. temperature on day N-1 to predict sales on day N)
  • future: forecasts known ahead of prediction (i.e. could be that we have the weather forecast for day N)
Date forecast_available observed_temperature temperature_forecast sales
2021-01-01 2020-12-31 35 37 100
2021-01-02 2020-01-01 28 31 120

sktime abstracts the creation of lagged variables, etc, so any way to make the distinction between the two types of covariates?

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