2024 West Virginia gubernatorial election
November 5, 2024
 
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent Governor

Jim Justice
Republican


The 2024 West Virginia gubernatorial election will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the governor of West Virginia, concurrently with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Governor Jim Justice is term-limited and cannot seek re-election to a third consecutive term in office. First elected in 2016 as a Democrat by 6.8 percentage points, Justice switched parties in August 2017 and won re-election in 2020 as a Republican by 33.3 percentage points. Primary elections will take place on May 14, 2024.[1]

Background

A conservative rural southern state, West Virginia is considered extremely Republican at the federal and state levels; Republicans hold all statewide executive offices and supermajorities in both state legislative houses, and since 2015, Senator Joe Manchin has been the state's only congressional Democrat. In the 2020 presidential election, Donald Trump carried West Virginia by 38.93 percentage points.

With Jim Justice term-limited and unable to run for a third consecutive term as Governor, the Republican primary is expected to be competitive and crowded. Most analysts consider Republicans to be a heavy favorite, given the state's partisan lean and the margin from the previous election.[2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Moore Capito
Federal politicians
Patrick Morrisey
Individuals
Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Moore
Capito		 J.B.
McCuskey		 Chris
Miller		 Patrick
Morrisey		 Mac
Warner		 Other Undecided
WPA Intelligence[upper-alpha 1] November 27–29, 2023 507 (LV) ± 4.4% 23% – 10% 39% 14% – 14%
American Pulse Research
& Polling (R)[upper-alpha 2]		 November 13–14, 2023 414 (LV) ± 4.8% 23% – 10% 31% 14% – 23%
CAMP[upper-alpha 3] November 10–12, 2023 863 (LV) ± 3.26% 18% – 11% 24% 21% 5% 21%
Orion Strategies[upper-alpha 4] June 17–20, 2023 651 (LV) ± 6.0% 30% 3% 5% 31% 9% 5% 17%
National Research Inc. February 23–28, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 15% 3% 6% 28% 11% 3%[lower-alpha 2] 29%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Other candidates

Constitution Party

Declared

Libertarian Party

Declared

  • Erika Kolenich, attorney and nominee for governor in 2020[21]

Mountain Party

Declared

  • Chase Linko-Looper, human rights advocate and U.S. Army veteran[22]

General election

Though major pundits consider the election to be safe for the republican nominee, there is potential that the election could be closer, as West Virginia historically elected Democrats to the Governor's office, and Steve Williams is considered to be a strong candidate for the Democrats. [23]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[24] Solid R July 21, 2023
Inside Elections[25] Solid R July 14, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] Safe R July 13, 2023
Elections Daily[27] Safe R July 12, 2023

Notes

  1. ↑ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ Jeff Mullins with 3%
Partisan clients
  1. ↑ Poll commissioned by Black Bear PAC, a pro-Morrisey political action committee.
  2. ↑ Poll commissioned by WMOV.
  3. ↑ Poll commissioned by American Freedom Builders, a super PAC devoted to electing Mac Warner.
  4. ↑ Poll commissioned by the West Virginia Chamber of Commerce.

References

  1. ↑ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
  2. ↑ "West Virginia GOP auditor announces 2024 run for governor". AP NEWS. February 28, 2023. Retrieved March 2, 2023.
  3. 1 2 3 McElhinny, Brad (November 29, 2022). "Moore Capito, whose name likely rings a bell, says he's running for West Virginia governor". WV MetroNews. Retrieved November 29, 2022.
  4. ↑ Adams, Steven. "Chris Miller, Son of Congresswoman Carol Miller, Announces 2024 Run for West Virginia Governor". www.theintelligencer.net. The Intelligencer and Wheeling News Register. Retrieved December 24, 2021.
  5. ↑ "AG Morrisey announces 2024 run for Governor". WDTV. April 4, 2023. Retrieved April 4, 2023.
  6. ↑ "WV SOS - Elections - Candidate - Online Data Services". apps.sos.wv.gov. Retrieved January 10, 2024.
  7. ↑ "W.Va. Secretary of State Mac Warner announces he will run for governor". WCHS-TV. January 10, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  8. ↑ McElhinny, Brad (July 24, 2023). "McCuskey pivots to attorney general's race, and Weld and Stuart say they won't back down". West Virginia MetroNews. Retrieved July 24, 2023. Two-term state Auditor J.B. McCuskey, who was competing in a crowded field for governor, has pivoted to the attorney general's race instead.
  9. ↑ "W.Va. Agriculture Commissioner Kent Leonhardt to seek third term". Kent Leonhardt announced Wednesday he will seek a third term and will not run for governor.
  10. ↑ "Treasurer Riley Moore jumps into congressional race, another early political announcement". WV Metro News. November 21, 2022. Retrieved November 21, 2022.
  11. ↑ "Capito supports son's move to run for governor, says he will bring energy".
  12. 1 2 Weaver, Alexandra (May 31, 2023). "Citizens United president makes West Virginia governor endorsement". WBOY. Retrieved June 20, 2023.
  13. ↑ "Club for Growth PAC and Black Bear PAC Endorse Patrick Morrisey for Governor". April 5, 2023.
  14. ↑ "Americans for Prosperity Announces Endorsement of Patrick Morrisey for West Virginia Governor". americansforprosperity.org. July 19, 2023. Retrieved November 10, 2023.
  15. ↑ "WV Coal Association Endorses Slate of Pro-Coal Candidates for 2024 Election". www.wvcoal.com. Retrieved September 2, 2023.
  16. ↑ "Attorney General Patrick Morrisey Raises Over $1.1M Since Entering Race for West Virginia Governor". www.lootpress.com. July 8, 2023. Retrieved November 10, 2023.
  17. ↑ Staff, WSAZ News (September 4, 2023). "Huntington Mayor says he plans to file to run for Governor of W.Va". WSAZ. Retrieved September 4, 2023.
  18. ↑ Doherty, Erin (January 22, 2023). "Manchin on 2024 political ambitions: "Everything is on table"". Axios. Retrieved January 22, 2023. He did rule out running for West Virginia governor in 2024.
  19. ↑ McElhinny, Brad (July 5, 2023). "Salango says he won't repeat bid for governor; Huntington Mayor Williams says he's closer to launch". West Virginia MetroNews. Retrieved July 5, 2023.
  20. ↑ Winger, Richard (September 5, 2023). "Leaders of the West Virginia Americans Coming Together Party Join the Constitution Party". Ballot Access News. Retrieved October 3, 2023.
  21. ↑ Weaver, Alexandra (December 1, 2023). "Libertarian Party Selects Candidate for West Virginia Governor". WBOY-TV. Retrieved December 2, 2023.
  22. ↑ Lawrence, Brandy (June 20, 2023). "Chase Linko-Looper announces candidacy for Governor". WOAY. Retrieved June 22, 2023.
  23. ↑ https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/while-greatly-outnumbered-democrats-plot-a-comeback-in-west-virginia/ar-AA1kD3sB
  24. ↑ "2024 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  25. ↑ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  26. ↑ "2024 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  27. ↑ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. July 22, 2023. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
Official campaign websites
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