Okay, I love this question, although I agree that using SQL to solve this is never going to be efficient.
My solution takes a brute-force approach. So basically I do this:
- Sort the data into order, assigning an incremental number to each data point;
- I then need to group the data into four classes, where I can assume that the lowest number will always be in class #1 and the highest number will always be in class #4. I produce a list of every combination within those bounds;
- next I calculate the variance of each class, and the total variance, based on the way I split the data up;
- finally I pop the results for each combination, in total variance order, so the top answer tells me how to achieve the lowest variance.
That is a horrible solution, as I am literally throwing around millions of data items to get the answer. It takes around 2-3 minutes to execute for your sample data. I imagine it wouldn't scale well at all, so if your real data is much larger than this then it wouldn't be appropriate at all.
However, I bet this could be optimised to some degree?
Also, I get a different answer to you. Your total variance for your proposed class assignment is 19.67926, but my best answer has a total variance of 18.95997.
Your answer is:
Class Lower_Bound Upper_Bound
1 3.638 5.223
2 5.321 6.683
3 6.951 8.241
4 8.561 10.100
My answer is:
Class Lower_Bound Upper_Bound
1 3.638 4.952
2 5.223 6.547
3 6.604 8.241
4 8.561 10.100
So similar, but some slight movement there.
Now for the horrid script, apologies for this, it isn't optimised at all, and I left all my working outs in...
--Grab the source data
DECLARE @Data TABLE (ID INT, Value NUMERIC(19,6), Class INT);
INSERT INTO @Data
VALUES
(1000, 4.701, 1),
(1001, 5.223, 1),
(1002, 4.335, 1),
(1003, 9.234, 4),
(1004, 8.684, 4),
(1005, 6.507, 2),
(1006, 9.458, 4),
(1007, 9.663, 4),
(1011, 4.259, 1),
(1012, 8.241, 3),
(1013, 5.531, 2),
(1014, 4.434, 1),
(1015, 4.428, 1),
(1016, 8.119, 3),
(1017, 5.696, 2),
(1018, 8.142, 3),
(1019, 4.349, 1),
(1020, 4.315, 1),
(1021, 9.130, 4),
(1023, 9.278, 4),
(1024, 4.251, 1),
(1027, 7.414, 3),
(1028, 9.502, 4),
(1032, 8.561, 4),
(1033, 9.020, 4),
(1034, 5.365, 2),
(1037, 9.343, 4),
(2000, 9.330, 4),
(2001, 7.838, 3),
(2002, 9.806, 4),
(2003, 7.405, 3),
(2004, 9.970, 4),
(2008, 9.702, 4),
(2009, 10.100, 4),
(2010, 7.679, 3),
(2011, 7.180, 3),
(2012, 8.936, 4),
(3000, 7.249, 3),
(3001, 6.547, 2),
(3002, 5.608, 2),
(3003, 5.613, 2),
(3004, 4.473, 1),
(3005, 5.430, 2),
(3007, 5.766, 2),
(3009, 4.466, 1),
(3011, 4.532, 1),
(3012, 4.878, 1),
(3013, 6.388, 2),
(3014, 4.413, 1),
(3015, 4.689, 1),
(3016, 6.683, 2),
(3017, 5.708, 2),
(3018, 5.468, 2),
(3020, 9.797, 4),
(3022, 6.018, 2),
(3027, 4.493, 1),
(3031, 4.381, 1),
(4001, 4.720, 1),
(4002, 4.482, 1),
(4003, 5.631, 2),
(4004, 8.859, 4),
(4005, 4.788, 1),
(4006, 8.573, 4),
(4007, 5.553, 2),
(4008, 6.604, 2),
(4009, 4.394, 1),
(4010, 6.313, 2),
(5000, 4.269, 1),
(5001, 4.162, 1),
(5002, 4.614, 1),
(5003, 4.142, 1),
(5004, 3.975, 1),
(5005, 4.076, 1),
(5007, 4.299, 1),
(5008, 4.219, 1),
(5009, 4.229, 1),
(5010, 4.109, 1),
(5011, 4.086, 1),
(5012, 4.617, 1),
(5013, 5.470, 2),
(5014, 4.366, 1),
(5015, 4.655, 1),
(5017, 4.083, 1),
(5018, 4.261, 1),
(5019, 4.104, 1),
(5020, 4.297, 1),
(5021, 4.426, 1),
(5022, 6.189, 2),
(5023, 4.327, 1),
(5024, 4.380, 1),
(6000, 4.216, 1),
(6001, 7.150, 3),
(6002, 7.321, 3),
(6003, 4.198, 1),
(6004, 4.111, 1),
(6005, 5.321, 2),
(6006, 3.891, 1),
(6007, 7.370, 3),
(6008, 7.417, 3),
(6009, 7.095, 3),
(6010, 7.115, 3),
(6011, 6.005, 2),
(6012, 4.152, 1),
(6013, 5.683, 2),
(6014, 4.952, 1),
(6015, 3.881, 1),
(6016, 5.412, 2),
(6017, 5.405, 2),
(6018, 7.163, 3),
(6019, 4.451, 1),
(6020, 4.150, 1),
(6021, 4.424, 1),
(6022, 7.156, 3),
(6024, 6.242, 2),
(6025, 4.488, 1),
(6026, 5.732, 2),
(6027, 4.390, 1),
(6028, 5.580, 2),
(6029, 6.265, 2),
(6032, 5.493, 2),
(6033, 4.281, 1),
(6034, 4.387, 1),
(7000, 4.300, 1),
(7001, 4.349, 1),
(7002, 4.241, 1),
(7003, 4.213, 1),
(7004, 4.363, 1),
(7005, 4.217, 1),
(7006, 4.213, 1),
(7008, 4.484, 1),
(7009, 4.086, 1),
(7010, 4.072, 1),
(7011, 4.067, 1),
(7012, 4.098, 1),
(7013, 5.838, 2),
(7015, 4.028, 1),
(7016, 3.880, 1),
(7021, 3.797, 1),
(7022, 3.990, 1),
(7023, 4.263, 1),
(7024, 3.968, 1),
(7026, 3.926, 1),
(7030, 4.326, 1),
(7031, 4.158, 1),
(7032, 4.387, 1),
(7033, 4.836, 1),
(7034, 4.282, 1),
(7035, 4.418, 1),
(7036, 4.352, 1),
(7037, 4.267, 1),
(7038, 4.394, 1),
(7039, 4.195, 1),
(7040, 4.367, 1),
(7042, 4.339, 1),
(7043, 4.024, 1),
(7044, 4.398, 1),
(7045, 4.339, 1),
(7046, 4.283, 1),
(7047, 4.422, 1),
(8000, 4.175, 1),
(8001, 4.178, 1),
(8002, 4.256, 1),
(8003, 6.951, 3),
(8004, 4.329, 1),
(8007, 7.603, 3),
(8008, 6.457, 2),
(8011, 7.551, 3),
(8012, 4.361, 1),
(8014, 7.009, 3),
(8015, 4.293, 1),
(8016, 4.131, 1),
(8017, 4.000, 1),
(8019, 3.915, 1),
(8022, 3.731, 1),
(8023, 4.192, 1),
(8024, 4.221, 1),
(8025, 4.212, 1),
(8028, 4.056, 1),
(9001, 4.429, 1),
(9002, 4.432, 1),
(9003, 4.445, 1),
(9004, 3.696, 1),
(9005, 4.269, 1),
(9010, 4.434, 1),
(9011, 3.677, 1),
(9016, 4.440, 1),
(9017, 3.638, 1),
(9018, 4.426, 1);
--Prove we can calculate the total variance from this
WITH Metrics AS (
SELECT
Class,
SUM(Value) AS Class_Total,
COUNT(*) AS Class_Items,
SUM(Value) / COUNT(*) AS Mean_Value
FROM
@Data
GROUP BY
Class),
Variance AS (
SELECT
d.Class,
m.Class_Items,
MIN(d.Value) AS Lower_Bound,
MAX(d.Value) AS Upper_Bound,
SUM(POWER(d.Value - m.Mean_Value, 2)) AS Variance
FROM
@Data d
INNER JOIN Metrics m ON m.Class = d.Class
GROUP BY
d.Class,
m.Class_Items)
SELECT * FROM Variance;
--Brute force the classes
DROP TABLE #class;
DROP TABLE #data;
CREATE TABLE #class (
iteration INT,
threshold_1 INT,
threshold_2 INT,
threshold_3 INT);
--Organise the population into order
CREATE TABLE #data (
data_order INT,
data_value NUMERIC(19,6));
INSERT INTO
#data
SELECT
ROW_NUMBER() OVER (ORDER BY Value),
value
FROM
@Data
DECLARE @max_order INT;
SELECT @max_order = MAX(data_order) FROM #data;
SELECT @max_order;
--Set up the initial iteration
INSERT INTO
#class
SELECT
1,
2,
3,
4;
--Now use recursion to set up every other iteration to test
DROP TABLE #iterations;
WITH recursion AS (
SELECT
iteration,
threshold_1,
threshold_2,
threshold_3
FROM
#class
UNION ALL
SELECT
iteration + 1,
CASE
WHEN threshold_3 < @max_order - 1 OR threshold_2 < @max_order - 2 THEN threshold_1
ELSE threshold_1 + 1
END,
CASE
WHEN threshold_3 < @max_order - 1 THEN threshold_2
WHEN threshold_2 < @max_order - 2 THEN threshold_2 + 1
ELSE threshold_1 + 2
END,
CASE
WHEN threshold_3 < @max_order - 1 THEN threshold_3 + 1
WHEN threshold_2 < @max_order - 2 THEN threshold_2 + 2
ELSE threshold_1 + 3
END
FROM
recursion
WHERE
threshold_1 < @max_order - 3)
SELECT
*,
CONVERT(NUMERIC(19,6), NULL) AS total_variance
INTO
#iterations
FROM
recursion
OPTION (MAXRECURSION 0);
--Now work over the set of iterations, calculating the total variance for each
DECLARE @iteration INT;
SELECT @iteration = ISNULL(MIN(iteration), 1) FROM #iterations WHERE total_variance IS NULL;
WHILE @iteration IS NOT NULL
BEGIN
WITH ClassAssignment AS (
SELECT
d.*,
CASE
WHEN data_order < threshold_1 THEN 1
WHEN data_order < threshold_2 THEN 2
WHEN data_order < threshold_3 THEN 3
ELSE 4
END AS class
FROM
#data d
CROSS JOIN #iterations i
WHERE
i.iteration = @iteration),
Metrics AS (
SELECT
class,
--SUM(data_value) AS class_total,
--COUNT(*) AS class_items,
SUM(data_value) / COUNT(*) AS mean_value
FROM
ClassAssignment
GROUP BY
class),
Variance AS (
SELECT
d.class,
SUM(POWER(d.data_value - m.mean_value, 2)) AS variance
FROM
ClassAssignment d
INNER JOIN Metrics m ON m.class = d.class
GROUP BY
d.class),
TotalVariance AS (
SELECT SUM(Variance) AS total_variance FROM Variance)
UPDATE
i
SET
total_variance = v.total_variance
FROM
#iterations i
CROSS JOIN TotalVariance v
WHERE
iteration = @iteration;
SELECT @iteration = @iteration + 1;
PRINT 'Iteration #' + CONVERT(VARCHAR(50), @iteration);
END;
--Try to do this in a set-based way
WITH ClassAssignment AS (
SELECT
i.iteration,
d.*,
CASE
WHEN data_order < threshold_1 THEN 1
WHEN data_order < threshold_2 THEN 2
WHEN data_order < threshold_3 THEN 3
ELSE 4
END AS class
FROM
#data d
CROSS JOIN #iterations i),
Metrics AS (
SELECT
iteration,
class,
SUM(data_value) / COUNT(*) AS mean_value
FROM
ClassAssignment
GROUP BY
class,
iteration),
Variance AS (
SELECT
d.iteration,
d.class,
SUM(POWER(d.data_value - m.mean_value, 2)) AS variance
FROM
ClassAssignment d
INNER JOIN Metrics m ON m.iteration = d.iteration AND m.class = d.class
GROUP BY
d.iteration,
d.class),
TotalVariance AS (
SELECT
iteration,
SUM(Variance) AS total_variance
FROM
Variance
GROUP BY
iteration)
UPDATE
i
SET
total_variance = v.total_variance
FROM
#iterations i
INNER JOIN TotalVariance v ON v.iteration = i.iteration;
--Results
SELECT TOP 1 * FROM #iterations WHERE total_variance IS NOT NULL ORDER BY total_variance;
--Best result is 116, 147, 170, with a total variance of 18.959971
--What is this in terms of numbers?
--Class #1
SELECT * FROM #data WHERE data_order = 1;
SELECT * FROM #data WHERE data_order = 115;
--Class #2
SELECT * FROM #data WHERE data_order = 116;
SELECT * FROM #data WHERE data_order = 146;
--Class #3
SELECT * FROM #data WHERE data_order = 147;
SELECT * FROM #data WHERE data_order = 169;
--Class #4
SELECT * FROM #data WHERE data_order = 170;
SELECT * FROM #data WHERE data_order = 188;